Tren Makro

Analysis of Polymarket's performance in the 2024 US election. Highlights its popularity, trading volume, and accuracy compared to traditional polls. Covers major bets and user profits/losses. Examines the impact of crypto prediction markets on political events.

Gate Research Daily Report (November 11):In the past 24 hours, BTC's price has risen by 4.83%, currently at $81,406, continuously breaking historical highs. Altcoins have shown strong growth, with meme coins performing exceptionally well; the Elon Musk-inspired sector saw an overall increase of 33.4%. SOL's market cap share of the entire cryptocurrency market reached 3.82%, setting a new all-time high. The total stablecoin market cap grew by 3.14% over the past week, now standing at $178.3 billion.

The previous articles explored traditional payment systems and blockchain’s unique advantages, along with current challenges in crypto payments. This final installment analyzes emerging trends and innovations that could overcome these obstacles. From non-custodial solutions to DeFi integration, these developments could fundamentally reshape value transfer in the crypto age.

Offering election insights through the lens of cryptocurrency and Coinbase’s mission to promote economic freedom, a perspective deeply intertwined with politics.

Gate Research Quarterly Report : Market volatility increased in Q3, with an overall decline in August and a rate-cut-driven rebound in September. The total cryptocurrency market cap fluctuated between $2 trillion and $2.5 trillion. BTC ETFs saw net inflows of $4.34 billion, while rising network hash rates drove mining difficulty higher. ETH ETFs experienced net outflows of $523 million this quarter. Total DEX trading volume reached $395 billion, and DeFi protocols generated $191 million in cumulative revenue. In Q3, 324 projects completed funding rounds, with total funding reaching $2.4 billion.

Gate Research Daily Report (November 8): Bitcoin saw a modest increase of 0.38%, fluctuating between $74,500 and $76,800. Despite the Federal Reserve’s latest 25 basis point rate cut, Bitcoin’s upward momentum appears to be slowing. Bitcoin spot ETFs recorded a net inflow of $1.38 billion, setting a new single-day high, while open interest in Bitcoin futures across the network exceeded $46 billion, marking a historic peak. Today, the Sui network saw a net inflow of $26.8 million, contrasting with Ethereum’s net outflow of $91 million. UBS announced the launch of its blockchain-based payment system, UBS Digital Cash, and the UK House of Lords expressed its support for the Digital Asset Property Bill, which aims to clarify the legal status of digital assets.

Beyond examining GameFi genres like RPGs and Action and the increased magnitude of GameFi financially and socially, this report also explores comparative metrics across the top games and chains.

This round of Gitcoin Grants, GG22, primarily focuses on OSS initiatives and 7 community-led rounds. Compared to the previous round, GG21 (detailed in "Selected Projects Worth Donating in Gitcoin Grant 21"), this round leans more towards projects focused on cryptographic infrastructure, dApps, and developer tools. Additionally, Gitcoin Grant 22 has integrated the Quick Bridge feature, allowing users to perform cross-chain bridging and swaps on the platform. Moreover, with the US presidential election approaching, cryptocurrency advocacy organizations are also worth paying attention to. The donation deadline for all selected projects is 11:59 PM on November 7th, Beijing Time. Below are detailed introductions to recommended donation projects. Click on the corresponding link to go directly to the project donation page.

This article explores Ethena’s business model, how USDe generates returns, and compares the strengths and weaknesses of Ethena and Tether. We’ll also look at where the stablecoin market may be headed and how Ethena, Tether, and others might compete in the future.

As the U.S. election draws more attention, Bitcoin surged in October. While polls indicate a tight race for the White House, changes in financial assets and prediction market odds suggest investors now see Trump as the likely winner.

Gate Research Weekly Review reports, this week, Bitcoin surged to a new all-time high of $76,000, driven by the U.S. presidential election, with a 7-day increase of 3.62%. BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF recorded over $1 billion in trading volume within 20 minutes of opening, indicating sustained optimism from institutional investors toward the crypto market. Additionally, meme coin platform Pump.fun reached a record monthly revenue of $30.5 million in October. The DeFi sector also remained active, with SushiSwap launching a new platform called Vesting Launch, and Avalon Labs' TVL surpassing $1 billion. Meanwhile, SafePal introduced a Telegram crypto wallet that supports Visa cards. This week, a total of 10 projects secured funding totaling $33.84 million, reflecting continued confidence in crypto assets.

This article, the first in a three-part series, explores the landscape of traditional payment systems, from their historical origins to modern digital transformations.

This article, the first in a three-part series, explores the landscape of traditional payment systems, from their historical origins to modern digital transformations. As one of the most classic narratives in Web3, GameFi is gradually shifting from “play to earn” to “play for play,” focusing more on gameplay rather than financial aspects. This article will highlight the most promising Web3 game projects in 2024 across various sub-sectors that have the potential to break out and gain mainstream appeal, much like *Black Myth: Wukong*.

Gate Research Daily Report (November 6): BTC's price rose by 8.9% to $74,284, while ETH's price increased by 7% to $2,590. Donald Trump's election as the 47th U.S. president is widely perceived as positive news for cryptocurrencies, prompting a strong market rally. DOGE saw a daily increase of approximately 24.63%, with growing attention on Trump and Elon Musk’s ongoing engagement boosting community interest and driving up its price. The ETH to BTC market cap ratio has dropped to 24.52%, its lowest since April 2021. Gate.io, Binance, OKX, and Coinbase are among the exchanges listed in Asia Fintech Innovators.

In the past 24 hours, the total forced liquidation in the crypto market reached $206 million, with long positions accounting for $159 million. Over $600 million in tokens flowed into Solana, with more than 90% originating from Ethereum. Grayscale's multi-token fund GDLC submitted its ETP application, initiating the review process to potentially become the first multi-crypto asset ETP. a16z made an additional $23 million donation to the crypto advocacy group Fairshake to support crypto policy reform. Meanwhile, the State Bank of Pakistan proposed the legalization of digital currency.